There is a substantial risk of loss associated with trading Derivatives . Losses can and will occur. My methods will not ensure profits

Wednesday, September 24, 2014

24092014



Nifty opened near PDL. and tried to move down. Skipped BOF of PDL as I was expecting a range day with RN and MSP above it. Expected the last impulse to act as a range. Went short on BPB of PDL. Covered when price bounced from BRN. Rest of the day it was a range between PDL and BRN. Tried a long during the Coal Drama. Exited on the BOF of PDL.

31 comments:

  1. Hi ST
    my trades :http://screencast.com/t/L6COUdBlmf9u
    your first trade was direct bo trade. Or am I missing something

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes. It was a direct break .Price first broke PDL and pulled back. Later broke that low.
      So called it a BPB. BOF of IRH is not a reliable signal with PDL and IRL below it.

      ST

      Delete
    2. Hi ST,
      To my eyes the first trade looks like BPB with that tiny green bar. What makes it a BO?

      Delete
    3. Item 8 and 9
      screencast.com/t/sE0ll4vcnlQD

      ST

      Delete
    4. Thank you ST. item 8 is BO 9 is pull back, so BPB and not BO, am I correct?

      Delete
    5. please explain item no. 4 and 6

      Delete
  2. Hi ST,
    "Tried a long during the Coal Drama" Do you watch new while trading ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No. But when market makes some unexpected move I check Ichart shout box for the reason

      ST

      Delete
  3. Hi ST

    First, Congrats on what ISRO scientists have done. We are the first Asian country to reach Mars. Wow!! What a feeling... What an achievement.... Proud to be an Indian.

    Thanks for the charts!!

    TBP

    ReplyDelete
  4. Which charting software u are using sir?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. icharts.in/
      web based charts. Around Rs 800 PM

      ST

      Delete
    2. ok sir thank u. i am gng to practice for some time to gain experience. can i do that in spot nifty through netdania.com charts. please give ur valuable suggestions

      Delete
    3. Do it on Nifty futures
      You will get it for free
      http://charttechnicals.blogspot.in/2014/05/nifty-future-mt4-real-time-charts.html

      ST

      Delete
    4. ok sirji thank u i will try to learn

      Delete
  5. Hi ST,
    Why didnt you take a range BO short ? on the big Bearish WRB

    thanks n rgds
    Kishore

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. When price got rejected from PDL, I kept a short order below the range low.
      Then I cancelled it as there was no downside momentum. That fall was news driven

      ST

      Delete
  6. one more question ST: why shadows seen in your chart ? are you superimposing NS ?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes . It is Nifty spot.
      But there is a problem.NS price levels are shown on the left side
      http://screencast.com/t/VHhmc6JM
      Experimenting with some divergence
      http://screencast.com/t/ltFGXlhNJf

      ST

      Delete
  7. Hi ST,
    I took first trade like yours. But second one i took BO of day low at 14:09 candle, unfortunately price bounce back from previous day's low which i did not expect.

    Where i would have exited on this trade, i was confused with pullbacks and price reversals. Most of the times i exit in a hurry that price might get reversed but Price end up as a pullback,today i thought it will be a pull back but price reversed and hit my SL at 8001. Trade turned up a good 25 points profit to 12 points loss.

    pls advise..

    Thank you,
    Kiran.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. That down move was not a normal price action. It was news driven
      Such things rarely happen. Follow the usual practice

      ST

      Delete
  8. ST,

    Why u shorted directlybelow IRL. though there was a failure of yesterdays low and close. but we moved strongly down yeserday.. so i was expecting much pullback and failure to short in morning .. what was the thought process. at that time. ?

    Regards
    Bharat

    ReplyDelete
  9. Hi ST,
    I couldnt trade today, but have a doubt. When did you move the SL to TP position? Was it after the formation of the green bar or prior to it? For the second long, there was only a taily peep (first scouting party?) into the range above 8000, but you took it. Was there any reason to go long there other than the coal drama? Do you watch other scrips or news to take decisions on Nifty? Thanks a lot for your help ST.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I dont watch news. I later came to know it was coalgate
      http://screencast.com/t/W1DEv5AYR
      ST

      Delete
  10. Hi ST,

    This is my first post. How do you calculate these levels and what is the meaning of the same?

    I am still experimenting with my trading style - currently finding RSI and OI Analysis (from niftytrader.in website) very useful. With my current system I have a good success rate in finding right 'entries' but having difficulty with 'exits'.

    Want to learn your method and hope to improve my 'exits'.

    Regards,
    Sonu

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I have written nearly 150 blog posts explaining the method. You will find them below the blog under important posts
      Alternatively you can down load them in PDF format. Links are also there on the front page
      Here we do not use RSI and OI. If your current method is successful,better not to tamper it.
      I am afraid you may not be able to improve exits with the method as I myself is struggling with exits

      ST

      Delete
  11. Hi ST,
    Today is my B'day and the biggest loss day of the month as well :).
    Took 3 trades ...


    http://tinypic.com/r/v8en2q/8

    Trade 1:- same as yours.Scratched

    Trade 2 :- TRAP .Shouldnt have taken because LOD was near..Please comment if I am wrong in TRAP pattern.

    Trade 3 :- Took the BO only because of the fluid.Didnt the fluid has no significance here? .Stopped out above BRN at a huge loss of 15 points ..

    Please advice ..

    Thanks n rgds
    Kishore

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Happy Birthday, Kishore.
      Losses are part of the game. Accept it
      It will be a long, gradual, painful progression.

      TRAP is "Trend Acceleration Pattern" and is taken during a trend move
      "All the traders riding the current trend get shaken out of the trade. BO traders entered to capture the new trend get trapped. Those who have shaken out will try to enter the trend again and the trapped traders will hurry to exit. This
      order flow will create an accelerated move in the original trend direction."
      http://niftynirvana.blogspot.in/2014/01/trap.html
      Trade 3 is a news driven move Nothing will work here

      ST

      Delete
  12. Thanks ST.i can definetly sense the slow progress.all your posts on atomicity and things like that are coming to reality.rather slowely though..

    Rgds
    Kishore

    ReplyDelete
  13. Hi ST,
    Does Nifty look like there's no way for it to move up today since morning or is this manipulation?

    ReplyDelete

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