There is a substantial risk of loss associated with trading Derivatives . Losses can and will occur. My methods will not ensure profits

Wednesday, September 10, 2014

10092014


Nifty gaped down below PDH. IR formed. Skipped the BO of IRL as Nifty has already down 50 points from PDC. Short on BOF of range high.Covered when price bounced at range low after a BOF. Another short on BPB of range low . Target was BRN. But had to scratch this trade as price bounced. No other trades.

8 comments:

  1. Hi ST

    Was there any way to hold on to the short which you took instead of covering it when price bounced?

    Thanks
    TBP

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I held it for 15 minutes. Covered as it was holding above the range low
      It fell as soon as I covered.I would have held it longer if it was just a TST

      ST

      Delete
  2. Hi ST,

    Short below IRL @ 9.35 is valid trade?

    Regards
    Naveen

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. It is a valid signal and valid entry pattern. Not a quality trade
      All patterns are not tradeable. We need to consider other factors like TRADE SCORE
      After a 30 point gap down and 20 point down move we cannot expect further move without some consolidation. That too into NS BRN 8100.So avoided it.Mechanically trading the three patterns at DPs may not work well

      ST

      Delete
  3. I was tempted to take trade at BOF but thought of strong pullback from RL prevented me taking trade. Also RL was only 15 points away.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. You have to consider the risk also.
      If you are going short around 8140, you can keep your SL very safely above the BO extreme,DO/HOD and RN 8150
      That is three layers of defense. That too a trend trade.Take a chance. You wont win unless you bet

      ST

      Delete
  4. Hi ST .. thanks for sharing this and putting together decision points ebook. I have recently started studying this technique and paper trading.
    1) I had the same trade as your first today with closing position at same level i.e. 8133 .. reason was second push below NS BRN failed and NF took out swing high
    2) Guess I am too new to take the BPB trade you've marked
    3) 2nd trade could have been buy @ 8130 after strong bounce back (initial stop @ 8120, previous bar high) - revised stop swing low 8132 - break even trade (only suspect in this trade was NS was still below / around BRN)
    4) Based on my observations so far - I think a multiple position technique with half position to be taken out after fixed 10 point profit in NF would perform excellent over a long haul using decision points.

    Please add or correct my understanding.

    Thanks,
    Bhavir,

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Once we achieve execution consistency we can try different tactics with multiple lots
      We can trade the method with option contracts also. Till then better to focus on basics

      ST

      Delete

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