There is a substantial risk of loss associated with trading Derivatives . Losses can and will occur. My methods will not ensure profits

Monday, January 27, 2014

27012014


Today I was not trading live. On hind sight analysis I find only one opportunity . The second BPB of IRL to the down side to TP at RN. This can also be considered as a TRAP pattern.There were two patterns earlier. BPB of IRL. was not advisable as price failed to break the swing low on the first move down after BPB. The counter trend long was also weak . There was no rapid rejection. Price stayed more than 45 minutes below IRL before breaking to the upside

12 comments:

  1. Hi ST

    Took the first candle low as IRL

    Thanks
    TBP

    ReplyDelete
  2. ST,
    was nt the LOD too near for that trade ?

    rgds
    Kishore

    ReplyDelete
  3. Kishore

    It was just Hindsight analysis. Cant say how I would have reacted in live market.
    Generally I try to enter a little earlier than the BO point. So that I can scratch the trade without much damage

    ST




    ReplyDelete
  4. Master i am following JNSAR method but not comfortable due to overnight tensions.

    you siad -BPB of IRL. was not advisable as price failed to break the swing low on the first move down after BPB- we will come to know about this only after taking the trade right?
    why you could not have been initiated both IRL BPB trades as breakdown was traveling to fluid?

    is 12.20 candel MSP?

    is it like 2.26 2.29 2.32 candles will result in long on BPB of swing low- scratch- short on BPB of swing low?

    please guide

    GV



    ReplyDelete
  5. ST
    Why wouldn't you exit the trade above swing high above LOD at 2 30 ?

    rgds
    Kishore

    ReplyDelete
  6. GV

    Price was hanging around 6180 for 21/2 hours and broke below this level at 11.48. Price failed to move beyond 10 points and made a swing low of 6170.05. Then a pull back. We go short once it breaks below the earlier swing low.Down move after the pull back failed to break this low and bounced back The break of 12.00 low happened after 20 minutes.This shows there is no strong selling and 12.18 entry triggered was a low probability one.There was clearly no downside momentum. Hence avoided. I will attempt the second BPB trade of IRL

    12.20 candle is not an MSP. In a down move MSP is always a swing high. 12.06 is the MSP. But it is not very prominent and visible.

    We are trading only at DPs.The main purpose is to hide our initial stop behind a DP. Here we are taking the BPB of IRL and naturally your stop is behind DP ie just above IRL.Considering the lack of momentum you can allow the price little breathing space.
    The short was at 6172.Price never went above 6175.

    Please do avoid the words like. "Master","Guru", "Guruji" etc. Address me Rajesh or ST.Do not make this a trading cult

    http://niftynirvana.blogspot.in/2012/11/trading-cults.html

    ST

    ReplyDelete
  7. Kishore

    Please read the reply to GV

    ST

    ReplyDelete
  8. QUOTE:
    Please do avoid the words like. "Master","Guru", "Guruji" etc. Address me Rajesh or ST.Do not make this a trading cult
    UNQUOTE

    Love your trading and attitude.
    Thx,
    DM

    ReplyDelete
  9. Sir,

    Today I didn't do any trades.

    Your reply to GV is excellent. I understand the importance of observing the momentum, more than ever before. Hereafter I will observe the time taken to breach a swing low/swing high too. These 2 things will enable us to discriminate between a high probability and low/nil probability trade.

    Thanks for sharing such valuable knowledge.

    S.Karthikeyan

    ReplyDelete
  10. Sir,

    Profitable day today.

    DP's are real grace just point to point.

    Thanks for you being here.

    Raghu

    ReplyDelete

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