There is a substantial risk of loss associated with trading Derivatives . Losses can and will occur. My methods will not ensure profits

Friday, October 18, 2013

Sniper Shots



Snipers are highly trained marksmen who operate from concealed positions and target the most important enemy personnel to cause maximum disruption. The word sniper originated in 17th century British India referring a hunter skilled enough to hunt the elusive bird “Snipe” Hunting a Snipe is considered almost impossible due to its erratic flight pattern.

The key to Sniping is accuracy which applies to both the weapon and the shooter. The sniper must be skilled enough to accurately estimate various factors affecting the bullets trajectory. Mistakes in estimation may seriously impact the accuracy.

“Sniper Shot” is a very short term trading technique which uses the accumulated orders at a certain point to make a quick profit. The only skill required is the ability to identify a location on a chart where there are enough orders once triggered can cause a quick move of 12-15 points. In other words the target is never beyond FTA.

This is a no brainer method. A do or die task. There is no time to think analyze or manage the trade. This method can be traded as a stand alone method or in combination with other methods. We skip many breakout trades as we do not find enough space for the trade to move. This method can be utilized in such situations

The tactic differs a little. Fist you have to identify your breakout entry and the target. Ensure a minimum space of 12 points so that you can make a minimum of 10 points after commission. Now you have to place two orders (For long trade). A stop loss limit buy order for your entry and a limit sell order at the target. Just wait for the breakout to happen. If there is enough order flow as you expected you will be in profit. If the breakout is not moving as you expected, get out

If you are not very sure about a normal trade moving and suspect some opposing order flow at FTA , try it in two parts. Treat one lot as Sniper Shot to FTA and leave the other to run eliminating your risk.  

But there are certain dangers. There is a very high probability of market jumping your entry order and triggering your exit. If an explosive move happens we will be in real trouble. We will end up holding a losing position.

We must be very careful to cancel the remaining orders. Otherwise these may execute at a later stage. Another problem in trading such methods is that we will end up taking these kinds of trades always. We will never let our winners run. Now regarding stops, as far as I know there is no way to place an early stop.

I have not traded the method live to assess other pros and cons. Please note that my intention is not to change the current method which works very well but to make use of this as something supportive. Think about it during the weekend and let me know your feed back

18102013

Another Rope trick. Nifty gaped up and moved up breaking BRN 6100 without a proper pull back. Long above previous days swing high level.Price broke PDH and went up. TP on consolidation. BOF of range low was a signal to go long. Finally entered on BPB of range high. BRN 6200 also could not stop the up trend. Ended as a type 1 trend day.

Thursday, October 17, 2013

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17102013



Nifty opened near PDC . IR formed. Did not enter on the BOF of BRN as there were too many levels above. Went long when the consolidation below IRH broke to the up side. Exited at breakeven. Nifty got trapped within too many levels. Tried a long above MSP on BOF of PDL. Covered the trade at BRN.Missed the BOF of BRN.Never expected a move down to LOD.

Notice how the market respects its own levels which we call DPs. Now do some experiment. Mark some SMA/EMA like 5,13,21,34,55 etc.one by one.Note Fibo Levels of moves , Mark pivots and camerillas. You can see market respected many of these levels. You decide which is reality and which is illusion and act on it.

Tuesday, October 15, 2013

15102013


Nifty gaped up above PDH. An outside trend Gap IR formed. Price failed to continue the up move. Did not short below IRL due to PDH and PDC . BPB of PDH/PDC gave a short. Nice move down. TP at BRN. BOF of BRN/PDL gave a long signal. Long above MSP. covered the trade on TST of PDC. Went short below MSP. I thought it will touch BRN. TP at PDL. Done for the day.

Monday, October 14, 2013

14102013


Another announcement day. Could not find any trading opportunities during the day with adequate space and good RR.. There were no trades worth taking. After the initial move it was a Barbed wire around PDH.After the announcement Nifty channeled for a while.. Again a Barbed wire around PDH for rest of the day.