There is a substantial risk of loss associated with trading Derivatives . Losses can and will occur. My methods will not ensure profits

Saturday, June 7, 2014

Daily Dose



I am not a fan of multiple time frame analysis. Markets have no time frames. It produces a continuous stream of data from open to close. We chop it and chart it as per our own convenience. Candles and resultant patterns will differ as per the charting method.

This logic is not applicable to ‘Daily’ charts in respect of a day market. Here there is no question of chopping. They are for real and all the traders watch the very same levels.That is why levels like PDL,PDH and PDC attracts a lot of order flow. These are simply the High Low and Close of the previous day candle.

Every ‘Day candle’ is considered as a range. Price breaking out of this range is a major transition. Price moving above PDH and falling below PDL are important events. Breaking the PDH is a bullish event and a break down below PDL is very bearish.

Decision Point method works well when the day traders are in control of the market and fortunately most of the days they do. But it is important to know what the positional and investor side of the market is doing and its impact on our trades. The easier way is to have a look at the daily and see whether it is in a rally mode or in a decline mode. In other words look at the micro trend in Daily chart. (Read More)

When market is in a rally mode, buying range lows can be more rewarding and in a decline mode selling range highs are preferred trades. Be very careful while shorting rallies and buying on declines. Focus on PDL on rallies and monitor PDH on declines. Break of these levels will change the trading mode.

If market trades within a candle for the next few days this will create a Master Candle and this MC may act as a range. Pay attention to the MC extremes also.

Do not forget to take your daily dose. It is very important for your financial health

Friday, June 6, 2014

06062014



Nifty gaped up above PDH. IR formed. Skipped the BOF of IRH.as it was not convincing one to go counter trend. But it hit the target IRL. BOF of IRL gave a long signal. Exited when price failed to stay above RN. Tried a short when price fell back into the old range. Exited immediately. BPB of  range high gave a long signal. TP at BRN.Stay with the trend . Be careful with CT short trades when market is in a bullish  orbit

Thursday, June 5, 2014

05062014



Nifty opened near PDC . IR formed. Went short below BRN and had to scratch the trade when price was not able to go down. Long on BPB of BRN/PDL on break of IRL. TP when price broke below IRH. Tried another long on break of  PDH and exited when it failed to hold above RN. Did not attempt any other trades.Shaken out by the deep pull backs at IRH and RN. If I had not raised the stop below RN, I could have captured the entire 50 point up move

Wednesday, June 4, 2014

04062014


Nifty opened within previous day range. IR formed. Went long on break of IRH/PDH. Trade failed immediately on the very next bar.Exited at a small loss. Rest of the day Nifty spent within a 20 point range which was also a barbed wire around PDC. Went long on the BOF of IR low.Exited on BOF of PDH
Did not take any other trade as I had some other work

Tuesday, June 3, 2014

03062014



Nifty gaped up above PDH and made a Barbed wire around it BRN and PDC as boundaries. Stayed out during the announcement chop. Nifty made two BOF of Range low during the chop and tested the RN. Waited till the break of PDC and PDH to go long as I was not very confident . Long on BPB of PDH. Price broke BRN and got resisted at 7425. TP when second test failed. Short on BOF of HOD. TP when the second test at PDH failed. There was another signal to go long into the fluid on BPB of BRN with HOD as target. Hesitated and missed it.

Monday, June 2, 2014

02062014



Nifty opened within previous day range. IR formed. Did not enter on the break of IRH as I was not very confident to long.Went long on the break of PDH. Ignored BRN as I expected a lot of stops above PDH because it consolidated near PDH for half an hour. TP at RN 7350.Tried a short on BOF of HOD. Trade did not move. Stopped out above HOD